Georgia State vs App State prediction for November 7, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects App State 28.3 - Georgia State 27.9. App State is favored with a 65.5% win probability. The spread is -6.5 and the total is 53.5.
App State
28.3
Projected Score
VS
O/U 53.5
Georgia State
27.9
Projected Score
Win Probability
App StateGeorgia State
-6.5
Spread (App State)
53.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 70.3% (1,138 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Georgia State
212835
App State
212836
Market Lines
Spread
App State -6.5
Total
53.5
Moneyline
-230
Away +190
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Football Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →