Arkansas vs Auburn prediction for November 7, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Auburn 31.5 - Arkansas 21.6. Auburn is favored with a 75.4% win probability. The spread is -10.5 and the total is 53.5.
Auburn
31.5
Projected Score
VS
O/U 53.5
Arkansas
21.6
Projected Score
Win Probability
AuburnArkansas
-10.5
Spread (Auburn)
53.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 75.0% (1,138 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Arkansas
142229
Auburn
243239
Market Lines
Spread
Auburn -10.5
Total
53.5
Moneyline
-395
Away +310
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Football Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →