Iowa State vs BYU prediction for October 9, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects BYU 31.0 - Iowa State 19.7. BYU is favored with a 76.6% win probability. The spread is -10.5 and the total is 46.5.
BYU
31.0
Projected Score
VS
O/U 46.5
Iowa State
19.7
Projected Score
Win Probability
BYUIowa State
-10.5
Spread (BYU)
46.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 76.5% (1,002 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Iowa State
122027
BYU
243138
Market Lines
Spread
BYU -10.5
Total
46.5
Moneyline
-410
Away +320
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Football Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →