Iowa vs Washington prediction for October 9, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Washington 20.8 - Iowa 14.1. Washington is favored with a 66.5% win probability. The spread is -3.0 and the total is 41.5.
Washington
20.8
Projected Score
VS
O/U 41.5
Iowa
14.1
Projected Score
Win Probability
WashingtonIowa
-3.0
Spread (Washington)
41.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 72.6% (1,002 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Iowa
71421
Washington
142128
Market Lines
Spread
Washington -3.0
Total
41.5
Moneyline
-148
Away +124
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Football Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →