Washington State vs Utah State prediction for October 9, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Utah State 19.9 - Washington State 20.6. Washington State is favored with a 51.7% win probability. The spread is -5.5 and the total is 43.5.
Utah State
19.9
Projected Score
VS
O/U 43.5
Washington State
20.6
Projected Score
Win Probability
Utah StateWashington State
-5.5
Spread (Utah State)
43.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 53.2% (1,002 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Washington State
132128
Utah State
132027
Market Lines
Spread
Utah State -5.5
Total
43.5
Moneyline
-205
Away +170
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Football Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →