Dunlap, Nick vs Li, Haotong prediction for October 4, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Li, Haotong 0 - Dunlap, Nick 63. Li, Haotong is favored with a 52.7% win probability. Li, Haotong wins more simulations despite the lower average score. The spread is -0.03.
Li, Haotong
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Bank of Utah Championship
Dunlap, Nick
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Li, HaotongDunlap, Nick
+128
Best Odds
Tournament Context
Event
Bank of Utah Championship
Course
Black Desert Resort
Field
118 players
Wind
9 mph
Temp
92°F
Conditions
normal (+0.1)
Matchup Analysis
Dunlap, Nick
+0.00 SG
EF 63th
Skill Gap
-0.03 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Li, Haotong
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded GOLF 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the GOLF 2026 season report card.