Finau, Tony vs Rodgers, Patrick prediction for October 8, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Rodgers, Patrick 0 - Finau, Tony 52. Finau, Tony is favored with a 67.4% win probability. The spread is -0.13.
Rodgers, Patrick
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Baycurrent Classic
Finau, Tony
-0.30
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Rodgers, PatrickFinau, Tony
-105
Best Odds
Tournament Context
Event
Baycurrent Classic
Course
Yokohama Country Club (West Course)
Field
72 players
Wind
5 mph
Temp
75°F
Conditions
normal (+0.2)
Player Profile — Finau, Tony
Strokes Gained
-0.30/round
Below Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.076 SG adj
Expected Finish
52th / 72
Matchup Analysis
Finau, Tony
-0.30 SG
EF 52th
Skill Gap
-0.13 SG/round
tight skill advantage for Rodgers, Patrick
Rodgers, Patrick
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded GOLF 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the GOLF 2026 season report card.