PGA Tour Golf

Smith, Jordan vs Bauchou, Zach Prediction

October 8, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Smith, Jordan vs Bauchou, Zach prediction for October 8, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Bauchou, Zach 0 - Smith, Jordan 13. Smith, Jordan is favored with a 70.3% win probability.

Bauchou, Zach
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • Baycurrent Classic
Smith, Jordan
+0.52
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
29.7%
70.3%
Bauchou, ZachSmith, Jordan
-114
Best Odds
FINALSmith, Jordan (2) def Bauchou, Zach (T26)

Tournament Context

Event
Baycurrent Classic
Course
Yokohama Country Club (West Course)
Field
72 players
Wind
5 mph
Temp
75°F
Conditions
normal (+0.2)

Player Profile — Smith, Jordan

Strokes Gained
+0.52/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
poor
-0.062 SG adj
Expected Finish
13th / 72

Matchup Analysis

Smith, Jordan
+0.52 SG
EF 13th
Skill Gap
-0.00 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Bauchou, Zach
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg
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Edge Breakdown
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Model Edge & Sizing

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Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded GOLF 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the GOLF 2026 season report card.

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