Ghim, Doug vs Suber, Jackson prediction for October 2, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Suber, Jackson 44 - Ghim, Doug 25. Ghim, Doug is favored with a 55.6% win probability. Ghim, Doug wins more simulations despite the lower average score. The spread is 0.24.
Suber, Jackson
+0.51
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Bank of Utah Championship
Ghim, Doug
+0.75
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Suber, JacksonGhim, Doug
-110
Best Odds
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Ghim, Doug
182532
Suber, Jackson
374451
Tournament Context
Event
Bank of Utah Championship
Course
Black Desert Resort
Field
119 players
Wind
7 mph
Temp
91°F
Conditions
normal (-0.0)
Player Profile — Ghim, Doug
Strokes Gained
+0.75/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
good
+0.285 SG adj
Expected Finish
25th / 119
Matchup Analysis
Ghim, Doug
+0.75 SG
EF 25th
Skill Gap
+0.24 SG/round
tight skill advantage for Ghim, Doug
Suber, Jackson
+0.51 SG
EF 44th · Above Avg
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded GOLF 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the GOLF 2026 season report card.