Aeterna Esports vs Colossal Gaming prediction for August 26, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Colossal Gaming 3 - Aeterna Esports 1. Colossal Gaming is favored with a 78.8% win probability. Most likely series score: 1-3 (Best of 5).
Colossal Gaming
3
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • LIT
Aeterna Esports
1
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Colossal GamingAeterna Esports
1-3
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 78.6% (17,758 games)
Team Profiles
Aeterna Esports
Early
48%
Mid
49%
Late
49%
Elo: 1459 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 7-3 (70%)
Colossal Gaming
Early
55%
Mid
56%
Late
57%
Elo: 1605 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 5-5 (50%)
Score Distribution
Aeterna Esports winsColossal Gaming wins
0-3
26.8%
1-3
32.1%
2-3
19.9%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
6.6%
3-2
11.3%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.32
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.