TLN Pirates vs Galions prediction for August 26, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Galions 3 - TLN Pirates 1. Galions is favored with a 79.7% win probability. Most likely series score: 1-3 (Best of 5).
Galions
3
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • LFL
TLN Pirates
1
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
GalionsTLN Pirates
1-3
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 78.6% (17,758 games)
Team Profiles
TLN Pirates
Early
60%
Mid
61%
Late
62%
Elo: 1705 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 6-4 (60%)
Galions
Early
69%
Mid
70%
Late
71%
Elo: 1883 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 7-3 (70%)
Score Distribution
TLN Pirates winsGalions wins
0-3
28.1%
1-3
31.8%
2-3
19.8%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
6.3%
3-2
11.0%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
TLN Pirates
+355
Galions
-400
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.25
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.