Avella SU Esports vs Verdant prediction for September 21, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Verdant 2 - Avella SU Esports 0. Verdant is favored with a 68.0% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).
Verdant
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • EMEA Masters
Avella SU Esports
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
VerdantAvella SU Esports
0-2
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 71.4% (19,141 games)
Projected
Verdant 2 — Avella SU Esports 0
Actual
Verdant 0 — Avella SU Esports 2
Team Profiles
Avella SU Esports
Early
56%
Mid
57%
Late
57%
Elo: 1615 · 📈 Scaling · Record: 7-3 (70%)
Verdant
Early
64%
Mid
65%
Late
65%
Elo: 1773 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 7-3 (70%)
Score Distribution
Avella SU Esports winsVerdant wins
0-2
42.3%
1-2
25.6%
2-0
12.2%
2-1
19.8%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.29
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.