UCAM Esports Club vs mCon esports prediction for September 21, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects mCon esports 0 - UCAM Esports Club 2. UCAM Esports Club is favored with a 60.5% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).
mCon esports
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • EMEA Masters
UCAM Esports Club
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
mCon esportsUCAM Esports Club
2-0
Most Likely Score
MEDIUM
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 56.0% (19,087 games)
Team Profiles
UCAM Esports Club
Early
59%
Mid
60%
Late
60%
Elo: 1673 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 4-6 (40%)
mCon esports
Early
54%
Mid
55%
Late
55%
Elo: 1578 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 5-5 (50%)
Score Distribution
UCAM Esports Club winsmCon esports wins
0-2
18.0%
1-2
21.5%
2-0
32.7%
2-1
27.8%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
UCAM Esports Club
-1800
mCon esports
+1567
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.27
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.