CITA Kaizen vs TEAM AQUA prediction for September 21, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects TEAM AQUA 0 - CITA Kaizen 2. CITA Kaizen is favored with a 69.5% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).
TEAM AQUA
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • EMEA Masters
CITA Kaizen
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
TEAM AQUACITA Kaizen
2-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 71.5% (19,141 games)
Projected
TEAM AQUA 0 — CITA Kaizen 2
Actual
TEAM AQUA 1 — CITA Kaizen 2
Team Profiles
CITA Kaizen
Early
68%
Mid
69%
Late
69%
Elo: 1852 · 🗡️ Skirmish · Record: 7-3 (70%)
TEAM AQUA
Early
52%
Mid
53%
Late
53%
Elo: 1536 · 📈 Scaling · Record: 1-1 (50%)
Score Distribution
CITA Kaizen winsTEAM AQUA wins
0-2
12.2%
1-2
18.3%
2-0
43.0%
2-1
26.5%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.47
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.