League of Legends

BILIBILI GAMING vs Movistar KOI Prediction

October 23, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

BILIBILI GAMING vs Movistar KOI prediction for October 23, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Movistar KOI 0 - BILIBILI GAMING 1. BILIBILI GAMING is favored with a 84.2% win probability. Most likely series score: 1-0 (Best of 1).

Movistar KOI
0
Projected Maps
VS Bo1 • Worlds
BILIBILI GAMING
1
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
15.8%
84.2%
Movistar KOIBILIBILI GAMING
1-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
☑ Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 81.1% (3,111 games)

Team Profiles

BILIBILI GAMING
Early
70%
Mid
71%
Late
72%
Elo: 1963 · 🗡️ Skirmish · Record: 8-2 (80%)
Movistar KOI
Early
51%
Mid
52%
Late
53%
Elo: 1529 · Record: 7-3 (70%)

Score Distribution

BILIBILI GAMING winsMovistar KOI wins
0-1
15.8%
1-0
84.2%

Advantage Breakdown

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Model Advantages
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Key Factors

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Matchup Intelligence
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Market Odds

BILIBILI GAMING
-456
Movistar KOI
+456
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.23

Model Edge & Sizing

🔒The model's edge against the market, and the stake it sizes for this matchup, are premium.Unlock

Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.

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