League of Legends

LYON vs Secret Whales Prediction

October 23, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

LYON vs Secret Whales prediction for October 23, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Secret Whales 1 - LYON 0. Secret Whales is favored with a 51.2% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-1 (Best of 1).

Secret Whales
1
Projected Maps
VS Bo1 • LCS
LYON
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
51.2%
48.8%
Secret WhalesLYON
0-1
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
☑ Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 50.7% (3,111 games)

Team Profiles

LYON
Early
54%
Mid
55%
Late
56%
Elo: 1585 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 7-3 (70%)
Secret Whales
Early
50%
Mid
51%
Late
52%
Elo: 1500

Score Distribution

LYON winsSecret Whales wins
0-1
51.2%
1-0
48.8%

Advantage Breakdown

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Model Advantages
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Key Factors

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Matchup Intelligence
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Market Odds

LYON
-152
Secret Whales
+129
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.29

Model Edge & Sizing

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Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.

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