Team Liquid Alienware vs CTBC Flying Oyster prediction for October 23, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects CTBC Flying Oyster 0 - Team Liquid Alienware 1. Team Liquid Alienware is favored with a 73.4% win probability. Most likely series score: 1-0 (Best of 1).
CTBC Flying Oyster
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo1 • Worlds
Team Liquid Alienware
1
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
CTBC Flying OysterTeam Liquid Alienware
1-0
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 73.2% (3,111 games)
Team Profiles
Team Liquid Alienware
Early
50%
Mid
51%
Late
52%
Elo: 1614
CTBC Flying Oyster
Early
57%
Mid
58%
Late
59%
Elo: 1649 · Record: 7-3 (70%)
Score Distribution
Team Liquid Alienware winsCTBC Flying Oyster wins
0-1
26.6%
1-0
73.4%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
Team Liquid Alienware
-257
CTBC Flying Oyster
+245
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.29
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.