League of Legends

Estral Esports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas Prediction

September 14, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Estral Esports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas prediction for September 14, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas 0 - Estral Esports 3. Estral Esports is favored with a 68.1% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-0 (Best of 5).

KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas
0
Projected Maps
VS Bo5 • CD
Estral Esports
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
31.9%
68.1%
KaBuM! Ilha das LendasEstral Esports
3-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 72.0% (19,031 games)
FINALKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas 0 — Estral Esports 3
Projected
KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas 0 — Estral Esports 3
Actual
KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas 0 — Estral Esports 3

Team Profiles

Estral Esports
Early
62%
Mid
63%
Late
63%
Elo: 1738 · Record: 10-0 (100%)
KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas
Elo: 1583 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 2-4 (33%)

Score Distribution

Estral Esports winsKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas wins
0-3
4.3%
1-3
12.0%
2-3
15.6%
3-0
26.2%
3-1
24.4%
3-2
17.5%

Advantage Breakdown

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Model Advantages
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Key Factors

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Matchup Intelligence
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Market Odds

Estral Esports
-733
KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas
+733
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.24

Model Edge & Sizing

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Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.

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