Falke vs UB Alma Mater prediction for July 22, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects UB Alma Mater 0 - Falke 2. Falke is favored with a 71.9% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).
UB Alma Mater
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LES
Falke
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
UB Alma MaterFalke
2-0
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 72.9% (10,722 games)
Score Distribution
Falke winsUB Alma Mater wins
0-2
12.4%
1-2
15.7%
2-0
39.7%
2-1
32.1%
Advantage Breakdown
Draft +0.4%Context +2.0%
Key Factors
- Falke holds a significant Elo advantage (464 pts)
Market Odds
Falke
-618
Edge: -16.5%
UB Alma Mater
+279
Edge: +6.6%
🎯 Projection: UB Alma Mater ML @ +279 · Edge +6.6%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.47
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded League of Legends 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the League of Legends 2026 season report card.