TLN Pirates vs Vitality.Bee prediction for July 22, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Vitality.Bee 1 - TLN Pirates 0. Vitality.Bee is favored with a 50.5% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-1 (Best of 1).
Vitality.Bee
1
Projected Maps
VS
Bo1 • LFL
TLN Pirates
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Vitality.BeeTLN Pirates
0-1
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 50.4% (10,722 games)
Team Profiles
TLN Pirates
Elo: 1608 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 9-6 (60%)
Vitality.Bee
Elo: 1658 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 9-5 (64%)
Score Distribution
TLN Pirates winsVitality.Bee wins
0-1
56.6%
1-0
43.4%
Advantage Breakdown
Player -0.3%Draft +0.4%Phase -0.5%Context +0.3%
Key Factors
- Vitality.Bee has a moderate rating edge (50 Elo)
Market Odds
TLN Pirates
-153
Edge: -18.2%
Vitality.Bee
+125
Edge: +13.6%
🎯 Projection: Vitality.Bee ML @ +125 · Edge +13.6%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.36
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded League of Legends 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the League of Legends 2026 season report card.