paiN Gaming vs FURIA prediction for August 22, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects FURIA 2 - paiN Gaming 0. FURIA is favored with a 76.1% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).
FURIA
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • CBLOL
paiN Gaming
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
FURIApaiN Gaming
0-2
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 74.2% (2,561 games)
Team Profiles
paiN Gaming
Early
40%
Mid
41%
Late
42%
Elo: 1302 · Record: 4-6 (40%)
FURIA
Early
48%
Mid
49%
Late
49%
Elo: 1459 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 4-6 (40%)
Score Distribution
paiN Gaming winsFURIA wins
0-2
42.0%
1-2
26.0%
2-0
16.5%
2-1
15.5%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
paiN Gaming
+280
FURIA
-343
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.20
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.