League of Legends

SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI Prediction

August 22, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI prediction for August 22, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Movistar KOI 2 - SK Gaming 0. Movistar KOI is favored with a 85.6% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).

Movistar KOI
2
Projected Maps
VS Bo3 • LEC
SK Gaming
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
85.6%
14.4%
Movistar KOISK Gaming
0-2
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALMovistar KOI 0 — SK Gaming 2
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 85.0% (2,561 games)

Team Profiles

SK Gaming
Early
35%
Mid
36%
Late
36%
Elo: 1200 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 2-8 (20%)
Movistar KOI
Early
50%
Mid
52%
Late
52%
Elo: 1510 · Record: 3-7 (30%)

Score Distribution

SK Gaming winsMovistar KOI wins
0-2
57.8%
1-2
27.8%
2-0
4.7%
2-1
9.7%

Advantage Breakdown

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Model Advantages
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Key Factors

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Matchup Intelligence
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Market Odds

SK Gaming
+332
Movistar KOI
-491
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.23

Model Edge & Sizing

🔒The model's edge against the market, and the stake it sizes for this matchup, are premium.Unlock

Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.

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