League of Legends

Movistar KOI Fenix vs GIANTX iTero Prediction

July 21, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Movistar KOI Fenix vs GIANTX iTero prediction for July 21, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects GIANTX iTero 0 - Movistar KOI Fenix 2. Movistar KOI Fenix is favored with a 80.5% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).

GIANTX iTero
0
Projected Maps
VS Bo3 • LES
Movistar KOI Fenix
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
19.5%
80.5%
GIANTX iTeroMovistar KOI Fenix
2-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 74.7% (10,565 games)

Team Profiles

Movistar KOI Fenix
Early
51%
Mid
51%
Late
50%
Elo: 1500 · Record: 5-5 (50%)
GIANTX iTero
Elo: 1383 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 3-3 (50%)

Score Distribution

Movistar KOI Fenix winsGIANTX iTero wins
0-2
7.9%
1-2
11.6%
2-0
48.9%
2-1
31.6%

Advantage Breakdown

Draft +0.3%Context +0.9%

Key Factors

Market Odds

Movistar KOI Fenix
-842
Edge: -10.0%
GIANTX iTero
+486
Edge: +14.5%
🎯 Projection: GIANTX iTero ML @ +486 · Edge +14.5%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.34
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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