UB Alma Mater vs LUA prediction for July 21, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects LUA 2 - UB Alma Mater 0. LUA is favored with a 79.7% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).
LUA
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LES
UB Alma Mater
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
LUAUB Alma Mater
0-2
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 74.1% (10,565 games)
Team Profiles
UB Alma Mater
Elo: 1055 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 0-8 (0%)
LUA
Elo: 1500 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 3-5 (38%)
Score Distribution
UB Alma Mater winsLUA wins
0-2
49.6%
1-2
30.1%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
12.4%
Advantage Breakdown
Draft -0.4%Context -2.0%
Key Factors
- LUA holds a significant Elo advantage (445 pts)
Market Odds
UB Alma Mater
+474
Edge: +16.4%
LUA
-811
Edge: -10.5%
🎯 Projection: UB Alma Mater ML @ +474 · Edge +16.4%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.46
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →