League of Legends

mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team Prediction

July 21, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team prediction for July 21, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Once Upon A Team 0 - mCon esports 2. mCon esports is favored with a 62.5% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).

Once Upon A Team
0
Projected Maps
VS Bo3 • Road of Legends
mCon esports
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
37.5%
62.5%
Once Upon A TeammCon esports
2-0
Most Likely Score
MEDIUM
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 63.9% (10,565 games)

Team Profiles

mCon esports
Elo: 1608 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 8-10 (44%)
Once Upon A Team
Elo: 1380 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 5-5 (50%)

Score Distribution

mCon esports winsOnce Upon A Team wins
0-2
13.3%
1-2
19.2%
2-0
32.4%
2-1
35.0%

Advantage Breakdown

Player -0.1%Draft +0.4%Phase +1.1%Context -0.8%

Key Factors

championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.34
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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