Natus Vincere vs GIANTX prediction for September 11, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects GIANTX 1 - Natus Vincere 2. Natus Vincere is favored with a 51.7% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-1 (Best of 3).
GIANTX
1
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LEC
Natus Vincere
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
GIANTXNatus Vincere
2-1
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 50.2% (18,960 games)
Projected
GIANTX 1 — Natus Vincere 2
Actual
GIANTX 2 — Natus Vincere 3
Team Profiles
Natus Vincere
Early
47%
Mid
48%
Late
48%
Elo: 1438 · 📈 Scaling · Record: 5-5 (50%)
GIANTX
Early
48%
Mid
49%
Late
49%
Elo: 1458 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 5-5 (50%)
Score Distribution
Natus Vincere winsGIANTX wins
0-2
24.2%
1-2
24.1%
2-0
24.5%
2-1
27.2%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
Natus Vincere
-138
GIANTX
+488
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.24
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.