League of Legends

P11 Esports vs HMBLE Prediction

July 31, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

P11 Esports vs HMBLE prediction for July 31, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects HMBLE 1 - P11 Esports 0. HMBLE is favored with a 75.0% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-1 (Best of 1).

HMBLE
1
Projected Maps
VS Bo1 • LIT
P11 Esports
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
75.0%
25.0%
HMBLEP11 Esports
0-1
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALHMBLE 1 — P11 Esports 0
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 75.5% (12,279 games)

Team Profiles

P11 Esports
Early
30%
Mid
31%
Late
32%
Elo: 1099 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 0-4 (0%)
HMBLE
Early
69%
Mid
70%
Late
70%
Elo: 1880 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 8-2 (80%)

Score Distribution

P11 Esports winsHMBLE wins
0-1
75.3%
1-0
24.7%

Advantage Breakdown

🔒
Model Advantages
Available to premium members
Unlock

Key Factors

🔒
Matchup Intelligence
Available to premium members
Unlock
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.52

Model Edge & Sizing

🔒The model's edge against the market, and the stake it sizes for this matchup, are premium.Unlock

Edge Analysis

🔒
Edge Analysis
Available to premium members
Unlock
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded League of Legends 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the League of Legends 2026 season report card.

Want Premium Predictions?

Get full access to all picks, detailed game-by-game analysis, and Kelly-optimized unit sizing across 9 leagues.

Go Premium Free Picks

Free picks in your inbox every morning

The same free projections published here — Monte Carlo simulated, Kelly sized, delivered daily. Free forever. Unsubscribe anytime.