Team Liquid vs LYON prediction for October 4, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects LYON 3 - Team Liquid 0. LYON is favored with a 51.1% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-3 (Best of 5).
LYON
3
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • LCS
Team Liquid
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
LYONTeam Liquid
0-3
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 48.0% (19,573 games)
Team Profiles
Team Liquid
Early
55%
Mid
56%
Late
57%
Elo: 1601 · Record: 8-2 (80%)
LYON
Early
55%
Mid
56%
Late
56%
Elo: 1600 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 8-2 (80%)
Score Distribution
Team Liquid winsLYON wins
0-3
19.2%
1-3
18.8%
2-3
13.1%
3-0
18.3%
3-1
16.7%
3-2
13.9%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
Team Liquid
+135
LYON
-133
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.