UCAM Esports Club vs Movistar KOI Fénix prediction for October 4, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Movistar KOI Fénix 3 - UCAM Esports Club 0. Movistar KOI Fénix is favored with a 69.4% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-3 (Best of 5).
Movistar KOI Fénix
3
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • EMEA Masters
UCAM Esports Club
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Movistar KOI FénixUCAM Esports Club
0-3
Most Likely Score
MEDIUM
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 70.5% (19,573 games)
Projected
Movistar KOI Fénix 3 — UCAM Esports Club 0
Actual
Movistar KOI Fénix 3 — UCAM Esports Club 2
Team Profiles
UCAM Esports Club
Early
62%
Mid
63%
Late
64%
Elo: 1743 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 7-3 (70%)
Movistar KOI Fénix
Early
68%
Mid
69%
Late
70%
Elo: 1935 · 📈 Scaling · Record: 7-3 (70%)
Score Distribution
UCAM Esports Club winsMovistar KOI Fénix wins
0-3
31.7%
1-3
24.3%
2-3
13.3%
3-0
9.6%
3-1
10.3%
3-2
10.8%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
UCAM Esports Club
+180
Movistar KOI Fénix
-148
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.