Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics prediction for August 17, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Team Heretics 0 - Natus Vincere 2. Natus Vincere is favored with a 79.4% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).
Team Heretics
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LEC
Natus Vincere
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Team HereticsNatus Vincere
2-0
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 73.9% (2,457 games)
Team Profiles
Natus Vincere
Early
45%
Mid
46%
Late
46%
Elo: 1391 · 📈 Scaling · Record: 4-6 (40%)
Team Heretics
Early
36%
Mid
37%
Late
37%
Elo: 1214 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 1-9 (10%)
Score Distribution
Natus Vincere winsTeam Heretics wins
0-2
8.3%
1-2
12.3%
2-0
48.5%
2-1
30.9%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
Natus Vincere
-240
Team Heretics
+180
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.26
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded League of Legends 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the League of Legends 2026 season report card.