Elche CF vs Deportivo La Coruña prediction for August 17, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Deportivo La Coruña 1.95 - Elche CF 1.37. Deportivo La Coruña is favored with a 15.6% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.3..
Deportivo La Coruña
1.95
Projected Goals
VS
3.3 total
Elche CF
1.37
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Deportivo La CoruñaDrawElche CF
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 84.7% (1,230 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Elche CF
0.61.42.1
Deportivo La Coruña
1.21.92.7
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo La Coruña1.95
Elche CF1.37
21.4Shots16.3
7.8On Target5.8
6.3Corners5.7
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
97.8%
Over 1.5
79.0%
Over 2.5
63.8%
Over 3.5
46.2%
Under 2.5
36.1%
BTTS
64.4%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.0%
1-2
6.8%
1-0
6.7%
Match Context
LALMedium
Deportivo La Coruña
10.71
Draw
1.11
Elche CF
15.03
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.