Soccer

Preston North End U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21 Prediction

August 18, 2026

5,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Preston North End U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21 prediction for August 18, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Fleetwood Town U21 1.29 - Preston North End U21 1.49. Preston North End U21 is favored with a 44.2% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.8..

Fleetwood Town U21
1.29
Projected Goals
VS 2.8 total
Preston North End U21
1.49
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
34.4%
21%
44.2%
Fleetwood Town U21DrawPreston North End U21
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 76.2% (1,230 games)

Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile

Preston North End U21
0.71.52.3
Fleetwood Town U21
0.51.32.1

Expected Goals (xG)

Fleetwood Town U211.29
Preston North End U211.49
16.8Shots16.3
6.3On Target5.9
5.7Corners5.7

Goal Probabilities

Over 0.5
96.8%
Over 1.5
77.8%
Over 2.5
48.6%
Over 3.5
43.0%
Under 2.5
51.4%
BTTS
51.5%

Most Likely Scores

1-1
12.9%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
0-0
7.2%

Match Context

EPLMedium
Fleetwood Town U21
2.95
Draw
4.00
Preston North End U21
1.91

AI Intelligence Analysis

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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.

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