CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew SC prediction for August 19, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Columbus Crew SC 1.87 - CF Montreal 1.25. Columbus Crew SC is favored with a 51.9% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.1..
Columbus Crew SC
1.87
Projected Goals
VS
3.1 total
CF Montreal
1.25
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Columbus Crew SCDrawCF Montreal
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 60.4% (1,230 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
CF Montreal
0.51.22.0
Columbus Crew SC
1.11.92.6
Expected Goals (xG)
Columbus Crew SC1.87
CF Montreal1.25
19.7Shots16.9
7.1On Target6.1
6.1Corners5.7
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
97.0%
Over 1.5
78.7%
Over 2.5
58.3%
Over 3.5
42.0%
Under 2.5
41.7%
BTTS
63.4%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
7.8%
1-0
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
Match Context
MLSMedium
Columbus Crew SC
1.75
Draw
4.16
CF Montreal
4.47
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.