NightBirds vs EXILE Esports prediction for May 2, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects EXILE Esports 0 - NightBirds 2. NightBirds is favored with a 85.1% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).
EXILE Esports
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • Hitpoint Masters
NightBirds
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
EXILE EsportsNightBirds
2-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 75.5% (6,921 games)
Team Profiles
NightBirds
Elo: 1653 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 10-6 (62%)
EXILE Esports
Elo: 1500 · ⚔️ Teamfight
Score Distribution
NightBirds winsEXILE Esports wins
0-2
6.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-0
54.6%
2-1
30.5%
Advantage Breakdown
Player +0.4%Draft +0.2%Phase +0.9%Context +1.0%
Key Factors
- NightBirds holds a significant Elo advantage (153 pts)
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.51
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →