Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion prediction for May 31, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Shopify Rebellion 0 - Team Liquid 3. Team Liquid is favored with a 90.0% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-0 (Best of 5).
Shopify Rebellion
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • LCS
Team Liquid
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Shopify RebellionTeam Liquid
3-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 87.9% (11,451 games)
Team Profiles
Team Liquid
Early
47%
Mid
49%
Late
49%
Elo: 1590 · Record: 25-28 (47%)
Shopify Rebellion
Early
42%
Mid
46%
Late
43%
Elo: 1184 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 9-17 (35%)
Score Distribution
Team Liquid winsShopify Rebellion wins
0-3
1.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-3
5.0%
3-0
39.6%
3-1
31.8%
3-2
18.5%
Advantage Breakdown
Player +0.8%Phase +0.7%Context +1.0%
Key Factors
- Team Liquid holds a significant Elo advantage (406 pts)
- Team Liquid leads the H2H record 7-0
- Team Liquid is in stronger recent form
Market Odds
Team Liquid
-900
Edge: -0.1%
Shopify Rebellion
+500
Edge: -39.7%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.36
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →