NHL Hockey

CGY vs EDM Prediction

October 28, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

CGY vs EDM prediction for October 28, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects EDM 4.03 - CGY 2.74. EDM is favored with a 62.3% win probability. The spread is -1.5 and the total is 6.5.

EDM
4.03
Projected Score
VS O/U 6.5
CGY
2.74
Projected Score
Win Probability
62.3%
37.7%
EDMCGY
-1.5
Spread (EDM)
6.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
☑ Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 68.0% (1,387 games)

Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile

CGY
1.72.73.8
EDM
2.94.05.1
FINALEDM 4 — CGY 0
Projected
EDM 4.03 — CGY 2.74
Actual
EDM 4 — CGY 0

Game Odds

EDM ML
-178
CGY ML
+163
Puck Line
-1.5
Total
6.5
Model Quality62/100 (STRONG)
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Goalie Matchup

Devin Cooley
10-102.67 GAA91.5% SV
VS
Devon Levi
0-03.11 GAA88.7% SV

Special Teams

Power Play
CGY
20.0%
EDM
25.0%
Penalty Kill
CGY
79.6%
EDM
78.2%
90% Confidence: 68.5% – 70.0% home win probability

AI Intelligence Analysis

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Edge Analysis

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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NHL Hockey Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded NHL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the NHL 2026 season report card.

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