Chicago Fire vs Colorado Rapids prediction for November 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Colorado Rapids 1.64 - Chicago Fire 1.44. Colorado Rapids is favored with a 40.4% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.1..
Colorado Rapids
1.64
Projected Goals
VS
3.1 total
Chicago Fire
1.44
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Colorado RapidsDrawChicago Fire
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 70.6% (1,947 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Chicago Fire
0.71.42.2
Colorado Rapids
0.91.62.4
Projected
Colorado Rapids 1.64 — Chicago Fire 1.44
Actual
Colorado Rapids 2 — Chicago Fire 4
Expected Goals (xG)
Colorado Rapids1.64
Chicago Fire1.44
16.9Shots16.4
6.1On Target5.9
5.7Corners5.8
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
94.7%
Over 1.5
81.8%
Over 2.5
59.3%
Over 3.5
36.9%
Under 2.5
40.7%
BTTS
62.8%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.9%
1-0
7.0%
2-2
6.5%
Match Context
MLSMedium
Colorado Rapids
2.32
Draw
3.73
Chicago Fire
2.96
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.