Real Madrid vs Real Racing Club de Santander prediction for November 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Real Racing Club de Santander 1.25 - Real Madrid 2.83. Real Madrid is favored with a 74.2% win probability. Expected total goals: 4.1..
Real Racing Club de Santander
1.25
Projected Goals
VS
4.1 total
Real Madrid
2.83
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Real Racing Club de SantanderDrawReal Madrid
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 87.1% (1,947 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Real Madrid
2.12.83.6
Real Racing Club de Santander
0.51.22.0
Projected
Real Racing Club de Santander 1.25 — Real Madrid 2.83
Actual
Real Racing Club de Santander 0 — Real Madrid 3
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Racing Club de Santander1.25
Real Madrid2.83
17.6Shots17.6
6.1On Target6.9
6.0Corners5.9
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
98.2%
Over 1.5
91.6%
Over 2.5
77.4%
Over 3.5
58.2%
Under 2.5
22.6%
BTTS
58.0%
Most Likely Scores
1-2
9.1%
1-3
8.6%
0-2
7.3%
0-3
6.9%
1-1
6.7%
Match Context
LALHigh
Real Racing Club de Santander
11.59
Draw
8.07
Real Madrid
1.21
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.