Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City SC prediction for July 26, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects St. Louis City SC 1.71 - Colorado Rapids 1.28. St. Louis City SC is favored with a 47.8% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.0..
St. Louis City SC
1.71
Projected Goals
VS
3.0 total
Colorado Rapids
1.28
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
St. Louis City SCDrawColorado Rapids
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 60.5% (1,172 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Colorado Rapids
0.51.32.1
St. Louis City SC
0.91.72.5
Expected Goals (xG)
St. Louis City SC1.71
Colorado Rapids1.28
19.7Shots15.9
7.3On Target5.6
6.1Corners5.7
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
96.6%
Over 1.5
78.0%
Over 2.5
55.6%
Over 3.5
42.9%
Under 2.5
44.4%
BTTS
60.2%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
Match Context
MLSMedium
St. Louis City SC
2.02
Draw
3.89
Colorado Rapids
3.55
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded Soccer 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the Soccer 2026 season report card.