Espanyol vs Villarreal prediction for October 30, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Villarreal 2.27 - Espanyol 1.02. Villarreal is favored with a 67.9% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.3..
Villarreal
2.27
Projected Goals
VS
3.3 total
Espanyol
1.02
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
VillarrealDrawEspanyol
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 77.3% (1,940 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Espanyol
0.21.01.8
Villarreal
1.52.33.0
Projected
Villarreal 2.27 — Espanyol 1.02
Actual
Villarreal 0 — Espanyol 1
Expected Goals (xG)
Villarreal2.27
Espanyol1.02
19.5Shots15.4
7.3On Target5.4
6.0Corners5.5
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
96.0%
Over 1.5
84.3%
Over 2.5
63.8%
Over 3.5
41.6%
Under 2.5
36.2%
BTTS
51.0%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
10.1%
2-0
9.9%
1-1
9.2%
1-0
8.4%
3-1
7.6%
Match Context
LALCritical
Villarreal
1.40
Draw
5.38
Espanyol
7.67
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.