Flackwell Heath vs Aylesbury United prediction for August 12, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Aylesbury United 1.44 - Flackwell Heath 1.34. Aylesbury United is favored with a 35.4% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.8..
Aylesbury United
1.44
Projected Goals
VS
2.8 total
Flackwell Heath
1.34
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Aylesbury UnitedDrawFlackwell Heath
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 70.8% (1,184 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Flackwell Heath
0.61.32.1
Aylesbury United
0.71.42.2
Expected Goals (xG)
Aylesbury United1.44
Flackwell Heath1.34
19.3Shots16.3
7.0On Target5.8
6.0Corners5.6
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
96.5%
Over 1.5
77.6%
Over 2.5
48.6%
Over 3.5
48.3%
Under 2.5
51.4%
BTTS
60.1%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.0%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
8.0%
0-1
7.4%
Match Context
FACMedium
Aylesbury United
2.75
Draw
2.62
Flackwell Heath
2.85
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded Soccer 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the Soccer 2026 season report card.