Hanworth Villa vs Gosport Borough prediction for August 12, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Gosport Borough 0.82 - Hanworth Villa 1.83. Hanworth Villa is favored with a 63.0% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.7..
Gosport Borough
0.82
Projected Goals
VS
2.7 total
Hanworth Villa
1.83
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Gosport BoroughDrawHanworth Villa
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 84.1% (1,184 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
Hanworth Villa
1.11.82.6
Gosport Borough
0.00.81.6
Expected Goals (xG)
Gosport Borough0.82
Hanworth Villa1.83
16.9Shots16.3
6.4On Target5.9
5.8Corners5.7
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
96.8%
Over 1.5
78.1%
Over 2.5
42.8%
Over 3.5
41.5%
Under 2.5
57.2%
BTTS
50.5%
Most Likely Scores
0-1
12.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
8.0%
Match Context
EPLMedium
Gosport Borough
9.50
Draw
4.75
Hanworth Villa
1.29
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded Soccer 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the Soccer 2026 season report card.