New York Red Bulls vs Los Angeles FC prediction for September 10, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Los Angeles FC 1.96 - New York Red Bulls 0.87. Los Angeles FC is favored with a 65.4% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.8..
Los Angeles FC
1.96
Projected Goals
VS
2.8 total
New York Red Bulls
0.87
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Los Angeles FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 71.0% (1,454 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
New York Red Bulls
0.10.91.6
Los Angeles FC
1.22.02.7
Expected Goals (xG)
Los Angeles FC1.96
New York Red Bulls0.87
19.3Shots16.9
7.0On Target6.1
6.1Corners5.8
Goal Probabilities
Over 0.5
95.7%
Over 1.5
77.7%
Over 2.5
48.8%
Over 3.5
31.0%
Under 2.5
51.2%
BTTS
62.3%
Most Likely Scores
2-0
11.5%
1-1
11.0%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
10.0%
3-0
7.5%
Match Context
MLSMedium
Los Angeles FC
1.40
Draw
5.51
New York Red Bulls
6.91
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.