Soccer

RB Leipzig vs FC Schalke 04 Prediction

October 31, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

RB Leipzig vs FC Schalke 04 prediction for October 31, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects FC Schalke 04 1.24 - RB Leipzig 1.93. RB Leipzig is favored with a 50.4% win probability. Expected total goals: 3.2..

FC Schalke 04
1.24
Projected Goals
VS 3.2 total
RB Leipzig
1.93
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
22.5%
27%
50.4%
FC Schalke 04DrawRB Leipzig
☑ Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 80.7% (1,947 games)

Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile

RB Leipzig
1.21.92.7
FC Schalke 04
0.51.22.0
FINALFC Schalke 04 0 — RB Leipzig 2
Projected
FC Schalke 04 1.24 — RB Leipzig 1.93
Actual
FC Schalke 04 0 — RB Leipzig 2

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Schalke 041.24
RB Leipzig1.93
16.4Shots15.5
5.9On Target5.9
5.6Corners5.5

Goal Probabilities

Over 0.5
94.3%
Over 1.5
83.8%
Over 2.5
61.5%
Over 3.5
39.2%
Under 2.5
38.5%
BTTS
65.0%

Most Likely Scores

1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
7.9%
0-1
6.9%
2-1
6.4%

Match Context

BUNMedium
FC Schalke 04
4.20
Draw
3.88
RB Leipzig
1.88

AI Intelligence Analysis

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Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.

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