Spain U20 (W) vs Italy W U20 prediction for September 23, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Italy W U20 0 - Spain U20 (W) 0. Spain U20 (W) is favored with a 33.0% win probability.
Italy W U20
0
Projected Goals
VS
0 total
Spain U20 (W)
0
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
Italy W U20DrawSpain U20 (W)
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 79.7% (1,619 games)
Match Context
WC
Italy W U20
21.00
Draw
7.50
Spain U20 (W)
1.10
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded SOCCER 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the SOCCER 2026 season report card.