Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir Kecmanovic prediction for August 23, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Miomir Kecmanovic 0 - Sho Shimabukuro 0. Miomir Kecmanovic is favored with a 67.4% win probability.
Miomir Kecmanovic
1794
Hard Elo
VS
Hard • ATP
Sho Shimabukuro
1705
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
Miomir KecmanovicSho Shimabukuro
Hard
Surface
Winston Salem
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 68.5% (16,571 games)
Match Context
Tournament
Winston Salem
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · ATP
Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)
Sho Shimabukuro
Miomir Kecmanovic
Miomir Kecmanovic leads by 89 Elo points on Hard
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. ATP average on Hard: 63.5%
Sho Shimabukuro SPW
59.4%
Below tour avg
Miomir Kecmanovic SPW
65.0%
Above tour avg
● Miomir Kecmanovic has a significant serve advantage (+5.6%)
Odds & Edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Miomir Kecmanovic has a moderate 89-point Elo edge on Hard
- Hard court provides a neutral surface — favors all-court players
- Miomir Kecmanovic has the stronger serve profile on this surface
- Heavy favorite (Miomir Kecmanovic at 67%) — ML value may be limited; consider live or set markets
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · ATP
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded TENNIS 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the TENNIS 2026 season report card.