App State vs Marshall prediction for November 14, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Marshall 27.2 - App State 27.3. Marshall is favored with a 53.6% win probability. Marshall wins more simulations despite the lower average score. The spread is -1.5 and the total is 54.5.
Marshall
27.2
Projected Score
VS
O/U 54.5
App State
27.3
Projected Score
Win Probability
MarshallApp State
-1.5
Spread (Marshall)
54.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 55.2% (1,261 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
App State
202735
Marshall
202734
Market Lines
Spread
Marshall -1.5
Total
54.5
Moneyline
-115
Away -105
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Football Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →