Florida vs Kentucky prediction for November 14, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Kentucky 29.5 - Florida 24.6. Kentucky is favored with a 58.1% win probability. The spread is -3.0 and the total is 52.5.
Kentucky
29.5
Projected Score
VS
O/U 52.5
Florida
24.6
Projected Score
Win Probability
KentuckyFlorida
-3.0
Spread (Kentucky)
52.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 59.2% (1,261 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Florida
172532
Kentucky
223037
Market Lines
Spread
Kentucky -3.0
Total
52.5
Moneyline
-155
Away +130
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Football Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →