Utah vs Arizona prediction for November 14, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Arizona 25.5 - Utah 29.7. Utah is favored with a 54.4% win probability. The spread is 1.5 and the total is 55.5.
Arizona
25.5
Projected Score
VS
O/U 55.5
Utah
29.7
Projected Score
Win Probability
ArizonaUtah
+1.5
Spread (Arizona)
55.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 55.2% (1,261 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Utah
223037
Arizona
182633
Market Lines
Spread
Arizona +1.5
Total
55.5
Moneyline
-108
Away -112
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Football Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →