Kansas State vs TCU prediction for November 14, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects TCU 28.1 - Kansas State 18.3. TCU is favored with a 80.8% win probability. The spread is -13.5 and the total is 44.5.
TCU
28.1
Projected Score
VS
O/U 44.5
Kansas State
18.3
Projected Score
Win Probability
TCUKansas State
-13.5
Spread (TCU)
44.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 80.5% (1,261 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Kansas State
111826
TCU
212835
Market Lines
Spread
TCU -13.5
Total
44.5
Moneyline
-520
Away +390
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Football Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →